Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

BAL

64%

LAC

36%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–23

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAC
• Scoring−0.5 BAL
• Passing efficiency+0.2 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.2 BAL