Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

SEA

27%

SF

73%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–17

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 SF
• Rushing defense+0.2 SF
• Passing efficiency−0.2 SEA