Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

JAX

13%

DET

87%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

79%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–52

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+1.1 DET
• Home field+0.6 DET
• Scoring+0.5 DET
• Scoring differential+0.4 DET