New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

NYJ

43%

ARI

57%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–31

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ARI
• Scoring+0.2 ARI
• Passing defense−0.1 NYJ
• Interception rate+0.1 ARI