Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

MIN

63%

JAX

37%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–7

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 JAX
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 MIN
• Scoring differential−0.2 MIN
• Rushing defense−0.2 MIN