Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

CIN

28%

BAL

72%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–35

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Scoring+0.3 BAL
• Rushing defense+0.3 BAL
• Passing efficiency−0.2 CIN