New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

NO

66%

CAR

34%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–23

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CAR
• Scoring−0.5 NO
• Scoring differential−0.4 NO
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CAR