New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

NE

37%

TEN

63%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–20

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 TEN
• Interception rate−0.2 NE
• Scoring+0.1 TEN