Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

CHI

51%

ARI

49%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–29

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ARI
• Scoring differential−0.2 CHI
• Rushing defense−0.2 CHI
• Interception rate+0.1 ARI