Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

PHI

50%

CIN

50%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–17

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CIN
• Interception rate+0.2 CIN
• Rushing defense−0.1 PHI
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 CIN