Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

SEA

43%

ATL

57%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–14

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ATL
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 ATL
• Rest−0.1 SEA
• Interception rate−0.1 SEA