Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Before kickoff

PHI

75%

NYG

25%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–3

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.4 PHI
• Home field+0.6 NYG
• QB completion %+0.6 NYG
• Scoring−0.4 PHI