New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

NYJ

36%

PIT

64%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

15–37

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Interception rate+0.2 PIT
• Rushing defense+0.2 PIT
• Passing defense−0.1 NYJ