Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

LAC

51%

ARI

49%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

15–17

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ARI
• Rushing defense−0.3 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.2 LAC
• Scoring+0.1 ARI