Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

DET

39%

MIN

61%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–29

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Scoring−0.3 DET
• Rest+0.2 MIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 MIN