Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CIN

51%

CLE

49%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–14

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CLE
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 CIN
• Scoring−0.3 CIN
• Passing efficiency+0.3 CLE