Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

CAR

25%

WAS

75%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–40

Winner WAS. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 WAS
• Scoring+0.6 WAS
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 WAS
• Scoring differential+0.3 WAS