Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

WAS

26%

BAL

74%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–30

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Rushing defense+0.3 BAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 WAS
• Scoring differential+0.2 BAL