New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

NYJ

42%

MIN

58%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–23

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.5 MIN
• Scoring+0.4 MIN
• Passing efficiency−0.3 NYJ
• Passing defense−0.3 NYJ