Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

LV

48%

DEN

52%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–34

Winner DEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DEN
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 LV
• Passing efficiency+0.2 DEN
• QB completion %+0.1 DEN