Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

CLE

46%

WAS

54%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–34

Winner WAS. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 WAS
• QB yards/attempt+0.6 WAS
• Passing efficiency−0.3 CLE
• Scoring+0.3 WAS