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2024 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

TEN
47%
MIA
53%
Predicted winner
MIA
Confidence
45%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3112

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 MIA
  • QB yards/attempt−0.5 TEN
  • Scoring+0.2 MIA
  • Passing efficiency−0.2 TEN