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2024 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

SEA
35%
DET
65%
Predicted winner
DET
Confidence
53%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2942

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 DET
  • Rushing defense+0.3 DET
  • Passing defense−0.1 SEA
  • Scoring+0.1 DET