2024 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions
Before kickoff
- SEA
- 35%
- DET
- 65%
- Predicted winner
- DET
- Confidence
- 53%
- Snapshot
- In-season walk-forward
Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.
Final
29–42
Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.
Why the model leaned this way
Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.
- Home field+0.6 DET
- Rushing defense+0.3 DET
- Passing defense−0.1 SEA
- Scoring+0.1 DET