Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

MIN

44%

GB

56%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–29

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 GB
• Rushing defense−0.2 MIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 GB
• Interception rate+0.2 GB