Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

BUF

51%

BAL

49%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–35

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Scoring−0.3 BUF
• Scoring differential−0.2 BUF
• Rushing defense+0.2 BAL