San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

SF

68%

LAR

32%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAR
• Scoring−0.4 SF
• Scoring differential−0.4 SF
• Passing efficiency+0.3 LAR