New York Giants at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

NYG

16%

CLE

84%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–15

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.8 CLE
• Home field+0.6 CLE
• QB completion %−0.4 NYG
• Scoring+0.4 CLE