Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

HOU

50%

MIN

50%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

39%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–34

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Interception rate−0.4 HOU
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 MIN
• Turnovers+0.2 MIN