Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

GB

49%

TEN

51%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–14

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• Scoring−0.3 GB
• Rushing defense+0.2 TEN
• Interception rate−0.2 GB