Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

BAL

46%

DAL

54%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

42%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–25

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DAL
• Rushing defense−0.2 BAL
• Scoring+0.1 DAL
• Passing defense+0.1 DAL