Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

LV

19%

BAL

81%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–23

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Scoring+0.5 BAL
• Interception rate+0.3 BAL
• Scoring differential+0.3 BAL