Los Angeles Chargers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

LAC

66%

CAR

34%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–3

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CAR
• Scoring−0.4 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.4 LAC
• Interception rate−0.2 LAC