Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

CLE

53%

JAX

47%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

36%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–13

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 JAX
• Interception rate+0.3 JAX
• Passing defense−0.2 CLE
• Passing efficiency−0.2 CLE