Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

ATL

23%

PHI

77%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–21

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PHI
• Scoring+0.6 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 PHI
• Passing defense−0.2 ATL