Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

TB

22%

SF

78%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–27

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SF
• Scoring+0.5 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 SF
• Passing efficiency−0.3 TB