Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

PHI

49%

KC

51%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–17

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 KC
• Rushing defense−0.2 PHI
• Passing defense+0.2 KC
• Scoring−0.2 PHI