New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

NYJ

25%

BUF

75%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–32

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.6 BUF
• Home field+0.6 BUF
• Scoring differential+0.2 BUF
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 BUF