New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

NYG

21%

WAS

79%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–19

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.7 WAS
• Home field+0.6 WAS
• Scoring+0.4 WAS
• Passing offense−0.2 NYG