Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

LAC

54%

GB

46%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–23

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 GB
• Passing defense+0.3 GB
• Scoring−0.3 LAC
• Interception rate−0.2 LAC