Washington Commanders at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

WAS

43%

SEA

57%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–29

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SEA
• Rushing defense−0.1 WAS
• Scoring+0.1 SEA
• Scoring differential+0.1 SEA