New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

NYG

11%

DAL

89%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–49

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.8 DAL
• Scoring+0.8 DAL
• Home field+0.6 DAL
• Scoring differential+0.4 DAL