Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

GB

65%

PIT

35%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–23

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 GB
• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.2 GB
• Passing defense−0.2 GB