Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

CAR

43%

CHI

57%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–16

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CHI
• Interception rate−0.3 CAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 CHI
• Rushing defense+0.2 CHI