New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

NYG

48%

LV

52%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–30

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LV
• Interception rate−0.3 NYG
• Scoring+0.2 LV
• Passing offense−0.1 NYG