Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

MIA

58%

KC

42%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–21

Winner KC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.3 MIA
• Passing efficiency+0.2 KC
• Points allowed−0.1 MIA
• Passing defense+0.1 KC