Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

IND

56%

CAR

44%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–13

Winner IND. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CAR
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 IND
• Scoring−0.2 IND
• Passing defense+0.1 CAR