Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

BUF

57%

CIN

43%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–24

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CIN
• Scoring−0.4 BUF
• Scoring differential−0.2 BUF
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CIN