Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

PHI

71%

WAS

29%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–31

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 WAS
• Scoring−0.4 PHI
• Rushing defense−0.3 PHI
• Scoring differential−0.3 PHI