Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

ATL

48%

TEN

52%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–28

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 TEN
• Passing defense−0.2 ATL
• Rushing defense+0.1 TEN