San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

SF

70%

MIN

30%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–22

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Scoring−0.4 SF
• Rushing defense−0.3 SF
• Scoring differential−0.3 SF